MANILA, Philippines—The success or failure of nations in their 
pursuit of economic development depends, among other factors, on 
nurturing racial harmony and peaceful coexistence, as well as on the 
manner by which they manage the environment and use natural resources.
Continued conflict among people, overexploitation of resources and 
poor environmental governance undermine any attempt at sustainable 
development and erode the prospects for economic growth and poverty 
reduction.
Long-term peace and stability are, therefore, closely linked to 
pursuing a socially responsible and environmentally sustainable path to 
development.
Safety and security for people in the workplace and the availability 
of reliable land, water, food and energy are essential ingredients for 
eradicating poverty, raising living standards and ensuring human dignity
 for all.
Food shortage 
Today, the Philippines is unable to grow enough food to feed its 
population of nearly 100 million and yet each year it continues to add 2
 million more mouths to feed.
At the same time, our ability to produce food is steadily declining. 
Luzon, which has been the traditional rice granary of the Philippines, 
is now beset with unpredictable weather patterns that have become the 
normal annual pattern: too much rain and flooding with typhoons, and 
extended dry seasons without enough rainfall or irrigation water to 
sustain crop production.
Rice imports 
There are many other reasons why we are facing a food shortage, some 
of which were also touched upon by President Aquino in his first State 
of the Nation Address (Sona). Governance in our institutions is weak and
 allegations of mismanagement in rice imports and distribution persist.
Security of land tenure for farmers remains an issue, with much 
remaining to be done through the agrarian reform process. Much of land 
is being converted into real estate and property leaving less available 
land for agriculture and crop production. And, farmer-training and 
extension services need improvement.
Loss of forest cover 
Another important reason for the emerging food crisis has to do with 
loss of forest cover. As a result of massive logging and slash-and-burn 
practices as well as natural fires, our primary forest cover has 
declined from over 70 percent in the 1970s to less than 3 percent today.
Forests are a vital source for regulating our climate and help 
provide the rainfall needed for our agriculture. They also absorb the 
carbon in the atmosphere, thereby helping mitigate against the dangers 
of global warming and climate change.
Hunger 
As a result of the aforementioned factors, we have a rather serious 
food situation in the country. We import on average about 1.5 to 2 
million tons of rice annually and have a hunger rate of 20 percent.
Unless serious efforts are made to reverse these trends, the hunger 
rate could rise to as much as 30 percent in just the next decade due to 
rising population growth, which is estimated to reach nearly 120 million
 by the year 2020, i.e., 20 million more people in just 10 years.
A key issue we face is the future of the culturally unique and 
resource-rich island of Mindanao. Peace in Mindanao is critical not just
 for ensuring safety and security for all in the Philippines as well as 
in the Asia Pacific. The island is also vital for our food security.
Conflicts 
However, despite numerous attempts to bring about peace and 
development, Mindanao remains one of the poorest islands in the country.
 Internal and external conflicts and all-out wars over many decades have
 claimed the lives of far too many people, and continuously aggravated 
poverty and despair on the island.
Such instability has disrupted agricultural production, destroyed 
economic infrastructure, affected the social fabric of society, 
displaced thousands of people from their homes, and deterred the much 
needed investment.
Dialogue 
We must find an appropriate solution for Mindanao through deepened dialogue with our Muslim brothers and sisters.
Engaging the enlightened leadership of Mindanao and finding young 
champions who truly believe in promoting racial harmony and social 
stability would be essential for inclusive and equitable development, 
and for ensuring that the dividends of peace are sustainable over the 
long term.
Mr. Aquino recognized in his Sona the critical need for revitalizing 
the peace process and mentioned the need for resuming the dialogue with 
Mindanao leaders.
Investment proposals 
This will entail continuing the peace dialogues started earlier by 
the government with its partners, engaging the private sector and 
identifying viable investment proposals in close consultation with the 
people of Mindanao.
Equally, partnerships with nongovernment organizations will be 
important for helping to build capacity and provide ground-level support
 for implementing investment and development projects.
Undoubtedly, the prospects for a peaceful coexistence are greater 
when partnerships with local communities and tribal leaders are 
strengthened, when more economic opportunities are provided to the 
masses to reduce poverty, and when there is enough food on the table to 
feed all members of the family.
Food basket 
The island of Mindanao is fortunate not to have extended dry seasons 
as we witness today in Luzon and has the water resources to support two 
to three crops a year—it can be, as it has often been called, the “food 
basket” of the Philippines.
Mindanao’s highly fertile soils account for bountiful harvests of a 
variety of farm products: It grows most of the Philippines’ major crops 
such as rubber (100 percent of national production), pineapple and cacao
 (90 percent), as well as banana, coffee, corn and coconut (over 50 
percent).
Taken together, these crops account for over 40 percent of the 
country’s food requirements. The island economy also contributes more 
than 30 percent to the national food trade, making agriculture the 
driving force for the island’s socioeconomic development.
However, while Mindanao does not suffer the unpredictability of the 
northern typhoon belt, it does face its own challenges. As noted 
earlier, as with the rest of the country, slash-and-burn farming and 
illegal logging in Mindanao have caused the loss of mountain forests 
that produce rainfall for the plains and rivers and provide safe water 
for drinking, irrigation and hydroelectric power generation downstream.
Such is the extent of the damage that in rivers such as the Agusan 
and Kumaykay the water discharge (estimated in liters per second) has 
decreased by up to 75 percent, and the Pulangi hydroelectic power 
station operates at about 50 percent of its capacity, thus adversely 
affecting food production and energy supply for the island and the 
country as a whole.
If this trend is not reversed, the Philippines will lose its only 
viable food basket, and we will be facing a starving population.
Reforestation 
We must, therefore, tackle this issue through an aggressive campaign 
for reforestation and watershed management in the pristine natural 
environments of Mindanao.
Principally, these areas include the five mountain ranges that are 
the haven for primary mossy forests and the critical watersheds which 
are located in the heart of Mindanao, especially Bukidnon and parts of 
Lanao del Sur, including one of the largest water reservoir on the 
island—Lake Lanao.
Watersheds, rivers 
Specifically, the primary mossy forests to be protected include, the 
Pantaron, Katinglad, Kalatungun, Matigsalug, and Wao and Bumbaran 
mountain ranges. These watersheds feed six major river systems, namely, 
Cagayan, Tagoloan, Pulangi, Maridugao, Davao-Salug and Gingoog. (See 
maps.)
Saving the mossy forest would ensure adequate supply of water, food 
and energy, and help improve the livelihood of people, thereby 
increasing the prospects for peace and equitable development in 
Mindanao.
Alongside, we must also develop the large available fertile 
agricultural lands downstream of the large river systems, with extensive
 water-supply and rural-irrigation networks, post-harvest facilities and
 farm-to-market roads.
To do this, we must encourage private investment and public-private 
partnerships, and build a coalition with like-minded people from the 
academe and nongovernment organizations to enable a strong bottom-up 
consultative approach to community-driven development.
Agriculture development 
The main areas for agriculture development include South and North 
Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, Southern Bukidnon—and most especially, the two
 largest undeveloped areas—Maguindanao and Lanao del Sur, which are an 
integral part of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM).
Similarly, closer attention is required for the three island 
provinces in the ARMM, Basilan, Sulu and Tawi-Tawi (or Basulta) for 
their unique but complex development circumstances.
The people of Mindanao are fed up with long years of conflict. They 
want to live in peace and dignity, earning a decent livelihood. They 
want their children to be educated and have a healthy, productive life. 
The best weapon against poverty, social disharmony and despair are peace
 and sustainable development.
Indeed, the role being played by the government of Malaysia in the 
peace process together with other sincere partners such as the United 
States Agency for International Development and The Asia Foundation, is 
commendable and appreciated, and should be accelerated to help find a 
solution acceptable to most, if not all.
Territorial issues 
However, we cannot get bogged down by the territorial issues forever.
 While the negotiations between the past Philippine administrations and 
the Moro Islamic Liberation Front and other parties must continue, we 
cannot simply be waiting for the solution to emerge which could take 
longer than we may wish.
Given the enormous tragedies of the past, the mood in the debilitated
 population of Mindanao is now ripe for bringing about peace through 
economic growth and progress.
We must seize the moment and forge ahead with the country’s 
development agenda, which should be one in which Mindanao is given the 
appropriate resources to develop. This should be done in close concert 
with the many development partners who are so eager to help the people 
of the island. We need Mindanao just as much as it needs us.
Peace talks 
The Aquino administration has a duty to address the Mindanao factor 
and help turn the challenge into an opportunity for inclusiveness, 
equity and social justice for all Filipinos.
The good news is that the President has recognized the importance of 
peace on the island and promised to restart talks in earnest soon after 
Ramadan.
The Filipinos and the people of the region and the world will be 
closely watching with much interest how the situation evolves and how, 
in a meaningful way, the new administration, its partners and the 
Mindanao leadership engage in the dialogue.
Finding the right solutions to the challenge of Mindanao through 
continued engagement and mutual respect for its culture and people can 
enable us to end the conflict, move toward an era of peace, and provide 
us with the security of food, water and energy, and prosperity of the 
Filipino nation as a whole. By working together, we will realize the 
promise of Mindanao.
(Urooj S. Malik is chair of Hineleban Foundation, a nonprofit 
organization working for peace and sustainable development in Mindanao. 
He worked for the Asian Development Bank for over 25 year and, during 
the past 10 years at ADB, he served in the senior management stream, 
first as country director in Cambodia, then as director for Mekong 
Infrastructure, and finally as director of agriculture, environment and 
natural resources, Southeast Asia Department.)
Fast Facts
* 135,626 sq km - land area
* 21.6 million – population (2007)
* P3,572 (ARMM) – P17,050 (Region 10) – range of per capita gross regional domestic product (2008)
* $2.99 billion – total value of exports (2008)
* 26 percent – incidence of hunger among households, equivalent to about 1.1 million families (SWS, June 2010)
* 120,000 – estimated number of deaths as a result of the conflict 
between Moro secessionists and government forces since 1970 (2008)







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